Just in case any of you are new to this, it's not always the best film or performance that wins. Sometimes, it's the best campaign—think presidential elections—that gets the gold. And no, I have neither seen nor do I need to see any of the nominated films to make these predictions. For more information on my Oscar obsession, see "Notes on the Oscar Nominations."
Best Picture
No Country for Old Men
Best Actor
Daniel Day Lewis (There Will Be Blood)
Best Actress
Ellen Page (Juno)
Best Supporting Actor
Javier Bardem (No Country for Old Men)
Best Supporting Actress
Tilda Swinton (Michael Clayton)
Best Director
Ethan Coen and Joel Coen (No Country for Old Men)
Best Adapted Screenplay
No Country for Old Men
Best Original Screenplay
Juno